Apple iPad to surpass PCs by 2020 thanks to business users

June 17, 2012

Apple’s iPad will continue to dominate market share and eventually surpass personal computers over the next decade.

That analysis comes from Piper Jaffray analysts Gene Munster and Douglas J. Clinton, who predict that by 2015, total tablet sales will reach 301 million units, and of those, 175 million will be iPads. During that same time period, Munster and Clinton predict that the PC market will reach 484 million units.

If that trend continues, but 2020, the iPad could surpass the personal computer.

“We believe tablets could overtake sales of notebooks by 2015 and total PCs well before 2020,” the report says.

In order for that to happen, it’s clear that businesses need to start taking advantage of the iPad. It’s already happening in many small businesses, and when Fortune 500 companies begin to utilize the tablet in day-to-day activities, expect the tablet to truly reign supreme.

Interestingly enough, Android-based tablets are actually dominating the business and information technology sector right now. In fact, 44 percent of first-time tablet buyers in the business and IT sector purchase an Android-based device, according to PC World.

“The rise in tablet usage and increasing prevalence of BYOD is set to have a fundamental impact on IT and business over the next few years,” Kathryn Cave, editor at IDG Connect, said in a statement.

Apple shouldn’t be overly worried about Android, however.

Apple’s latest mobile operating system for the iPhone and iPad, iOS 6, is set to release this fall. And for iPad users it’s expected to improve above the experience for business users.

It’s bringing turn-by-turn navigation and real-time traffic updates — perfect for ensuring you make that important meeting on time. The phone aspect is more friendly with an option to decline calls and send a message to the person calling you. The Mail app is also greatly improved upon, allowing users to set up a VIP list, so you always know when your boss (or mother) is emailing you.

And my personal favorite: Passbook. It’s a great app that lets you keeps your airplane boarding passes, Starbucks gift cards, sports event tickets and more all in one convenient app. It’s another step closer to the virtual wallet.

It’s only a matter of time before board rooms around the world have a tablet in front of them, instead of a clunky laptop. The question is — will it be an iPad or something else?

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One Response to “Apple iPad to surpass PCs by 2020 thanks to business users”

  1. aquaadverse:

    So you think you can accurately project the course of a slice of the tech sector for an 8 year period ?

    I already have turn by turn navigation on my Android 2.2 tablet. With a MicroSD slot, 2 USB slots and mini-HDMI out. A jack to plug in an external satellite antenna. Is it an iPad ? Not even close. But that doesn’t really matter.

    Businesses, especially on the enterprise level, are not eager to single source such tools. There is value when you have multiple manufacturers on a single platform competing for revenue on a cost and benefit basis.

    Enthusiastic Apple supporters have been arguing that the “consumerization” of IT would see Apple gain a significant toe hold in IT. The migration from PowerPC to commodity Intel platform and Boot Camp. iPhones. What looked like an initial serious attempt to have an actual Server line.

    Apple should indeed be worried about Android.

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