Apple could sell 9-million-plus iPads in 2010

May 31, 2010

Apple’s sold 2 million in less than 60 days. Assuming they can maintain this sales sales rate, 9-million iPads will have been sold by the end of the calendar year, which puts them above the newer, more optimistic consensus estimates for 2010.

Apple has announced on this fine, fine Memorial Day morning that iPad sales have topped 2-million units in under 60 days. Additionally, there are now more than 5,000 iPad apps ready and available in the App Store.

“Customers around the world are experiencing the magic of iPad, and seem to be loving it as much as we do,” said Steve Jobs, Apple’s CEO. “We appreciate their patience, and are working hard to build enough iPads for everyone.”

Starting Friday, the iPad went on sale in nine additional countries — Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Switzerland and the UK — where people lined up for their chance to purchase one (or two, max) of the “magical and revolutionary” devices. Apple will roll their latest creation in another nine nations in July.

Plenty good apps in Jobs kingdom

A previous 1,000 title per week estimate put iPad app availability at 7,000 around the third week of May, which would have seen 10,000 on the App Store by the second week in June. Obviously, that estimate was more than a little optimistic as the actual creation rate is around 625 per week.

Assuming this delivery rate continues, the App Store will hit 10,000 iPads in mid to late July.

Also, the last iPad sales estimate to gain traction among the media was 200,000 per week. That number now appears to be coming in low as Apple is selling about 250,000 per week.

If Apple can maintain this rate, it will sell more than 9-million iPads by the end of 2010. Thereupon, it’s hard to imagine the company selling fewer iPads during the holiday shopping months of November and December than it did in April and May.

Of course, all of these rosy estimates are dependent upon Apple and its partners being able to increase supply going forward. That is, I doubt demand will be the weak link…

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